Agreement between cardiovascular risk scores in a high-altitude Andean population with rheumatoid arthritis

Carlos Diaz-Arocutipa, Vidia Lumbe-Diaz, Percy Soto-Becerra

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Background: This study aimed to assess the agreement between cardiovascular risk scores in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of adult patients with RA at the Hospital Nacional Adolfo Guevara Velasco in Cusco-Peru in 2024. The 2019 World Health Organization cardiovascular risk score (2019-WHO-CRS), Framingham risk score (FRS), and Expanded cardiovascular Risk prediction Score for Rheumatoid Arthritis (ERS-RA) were used to estimate the 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease. Agreement was assessed through Bland–Altman plots and Kappa statistics. Results: A total of 145 patients were included. The median age was 56 years (47–65) and 92% were female. The median scores using the 2019-WHO-CRS was 3% (2–5), FRS was 5.4% (2.8–7.9), and ERS-RA was 5% (2.3–9.4). Using a cut-off point >10%, the proportion of patients with high cardiovascular risk was 7.6%, 16.7%, and 23.2% for 2019-WHO-CRS, FRS, and ERS-RA, respectively. In the Bland–Altman plots, the limits of agreement were wide between risk scores (−16.8% to 1.4% for 2019-WHO-CRS vs. ERS-RA, −12.8% to 2.3% for 2019-WHO-CRS vs. FRS, and −11.8% to 7.7% for FRS vs. ERS-RA). The highest agreement (Kappa statistic: 0.56) in predicting high risk was between 2019-WHO-CRS and FRS scores. Our results suggest that there was disagreement between the 2019-WHO-CRS, FRS, and ERS-RA cardiovascular risk scores in an Andean population with RA. Conclusion: The identification of patients at high cardiovascular risk varied considerably among the scores, with the ERS-AR yielding the highest values. Further prospective studies evaluating the prognostic performance of these scores are needed.

Translated title of the contributionConcordancia entre las puntuaciones de riesgo cardiovascular en una población andina de gran altitud con artritis reumatoide
Original languageEnglish
Article number501832
JournalReumatologia Clinica
Volume21
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2025

Keywords

  • Cardiovascular disease
  • Cardiovascular risk
  • Framingham
  • Rheumatoid arthritis
  • Risk prediction
  • World Health Organization

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